Title : Policy frameworks for scaling renewable energy in emerging economies
Abstract:
Policymakers in developing countries are working to ensure affordable, reliable, and cleaner energy access across all sectors of their economies. Feed-in tariff (FIT) policies have been instrumental in attracting independent power producers to invest in renewable energy generation in developed and some developing nations. However, the design and implementation of FIT frameworks are closely tied to national and local fiscal and socio-economic policies. Financial modeling of FIT, which accounts for local economic conditions and the national energy sector's status, can help develop policies that are practical, sustainable, and conducive to investment in renewable energy. This paper presents a financial model for determining FIT rates using a solar farm in Malawi as a case study. The findings indicate that transitioning from a fixed price model to one that includes full or partial inflation adjustments—considering inflation volatility and macroeconomic risks in a fragile economy—can significantly enhance private sector investment in energy. Thus, the financial modeling of FIT can provide valuable insights for designing policies more aligned with local economic realities, ensuring their relevance, feasibility, and long-term sustainability.